Background A few weeks ago, I commented on an interesting LinkedIn thread about independence and common…
Category: Bayesian
System Safety and PRA Resources
[Updated Dec 2021] This is a list of free handbooks, guides, and textbooks covering all of…
Uncertainty and Bayesian Inference Video
We are proud to introduce our first SISEngineer.com original video. This video gives a brief non-technical…
Against Software Reliability?
Provides background on software reliability and discusses the challenge of validating high reliability software
A Bayesian Game of Chance
The following is a quick example illustrating how the Bayesian updating process can be used to…
Human Error and Systematic Failures
Today I want to highlight an excellent paper “Improving Barrier Effectiveness Using Human Factors Methods” recently…
Bayesian Coin Flipping
The following is a quick example illustrating how the Bayesian updating process can be used to…
Uncertainty in SIL Calculations
Some time ago, I ran across a complex Safety Instrumented Function (SIF) that had a proof…
Hierarchical Bayesian Prior Use
I presented my paper “A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach to IEC 61511 Prior Use” [full paper] at the…
Global Congress on Process Safety – Highlights
The 14th Global Congress on Process Safety (GCPS) was held on April 22-26, 2018 in Orlando,…